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Indian IT Stocks Fall After CLSA Turns Cautious Ahead of Q3 Results

The brokerage cited stretched valuations with softer constant-currency growth for large caps, setting up earnings as the next test.

Overview

  • The Nifty IT index fell roughly 1.6–2% on January 5, with Infosys and HCLTech down more than 2–3% as broader sector stocks traded lower.
  • CLSA urged investors to trim IT exposure before Q3 FY26, warning that near-term earnings are likely to remain subdued.
  • The firm downgraded HCLTech to Hold and reduced conviction on Tech Mahindra, removing it from its Focus List.
  • CLSA kept its most bullish outlook on mid-cap names Persistent Systems, Coforge and LTIMindtree, projecting the strongest upside in its coverage.
  • Estimates were recalibrated with EPS raised for most companies but constant-currency growth trimmed for large caps, while a weaker rupee was identified as an INR revenue tailwind and regional AI developments in Asia weighed on sentiment.