Overview
- On July 4, gold in India traded around ₹97,080 per 10 grams and silver near ₹1,08,380 per kilogram, showing minimal daily movement.
- Last week’s surprise ADP jobs contraction and a weaker dollar index bolstered bullion, while markets price in a Fed rate cut as early as September.
- President Trump’s July 9 deadline for reinstating reciprocal tariffs is seen as a potential catalyst for renewed price swings in gold and silver.
- Central banks led by China and Turkey purchased over 50 tonnes of gold in June, and European gold ETFs recorded fresh inflows despite eased geopolitical risk premiums.
- Analysts forecast bullion to remain rangebound near current levels until upcoming US nonfarm payrolls and policy developments deliver fresh direction.