Overview
- The Carnegie Endowment/YouGov Indian American Attitudes Survey of 1,000 adults found Democrats leading House ballots 62% to 19% and Senate ballots 63% to 21%.
- The survey was conducted online between Oct. 7 and Oct. 27 and has an overall margin of error of about 3.9%.
- The rebound was largest among men aged 40 and older, where Democratic support rose from 53% in January 2026 to 68% in October while Republican support fell from 32% to 16%.
- Authors say negative partisanship — voters motivated by opposition to the other party — helped drive the shift, with 35% of planned Democratic voters citing opposition to Republican candidates as their reason.
- Analysts caution the recovery is partial: many surveyed plan to vote Democratic despite fewer identifying as Democrats, and turnout levels and district geography will determine whether the shift changes actual House and Senate seats.