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India Surpasses China as Top Source of US Smartphone Imports in Q2 2025

Tariff uncertainty with China spurred Apple to ramp up iPhone assembly in India, limiting overall US smartphone shipment growth to 1%.

Employees work on a cell phone assembly line at Padget Electronics Pvt., a subsidiary of Dixon Technologies, in Noida, India, in March 2024.
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Overview

  • India’s share of US smartphone imports jumped to 44% in Q2 2025 from 13% a year earlier while China’s share plunged to 25% from 61%.
  • Apple’s ‘China Plus One’ strategy accelerated as it began assembling iPhone 16 Pro models in India and dedicated most of its export capacity there.
  • Vendors front-loaded inventories ahead of anticipated US tariffs, boosting shipments but widening the gap between shipments and end-user sales.
  • US smartphone shipments rose just 1% year-on-year in Q2 2025, reflecting subdued consumer demand despite record manufacturing realignment.
  • Samsung’s US shipments grew 38% in Q2, while Apple’s iPhone volumes fell 11%, underscoring shifting competitive dynamics.