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India Set to Overtake Japan as World’s Fourth-Largest Economy in 2025

IMF forecasts place India’s 2025 GDP at $4.187 trillion, driven by rural consumption with deep-tech research flagged as vital for sustaining growth

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Overview

  • IMF data project India’s nominal GDP will reach $4.187 trillion in 2025, narrowly surpassing Japan’s $4.186 trillion
  • Economic expansion is expected to stay above 6%, powered primarily by private consumption gains in rural regions
  • India’s per capita GDP of $2,880 remains far below Japan’s $33,900, underscoring persistent income and development gaps
  • Experts predict India will exceed $5 trillion by 2027 and climb to the world’s third-largest economy by 2028
  • Analysts say accelerated investment in deep-tech research and development is essential to sustain long-term growth and improve living standards