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India Says FY26 Deficit Target Is on Track as April–July Gap Widens to 29.9%

Officials attribute the early‑year shortfall to front‑loaded capital spending, timing effects, with a record RBI dividend cushioning revenues.

Overview

  • Government data show the April–July fiscal deficit at Rs 4.68 lakh crore, equal to 29.9% of the FY26 goal, compared with 17.2% in the same period last year.
  • Total receipts reached Rs 10.95 lakh crore and expenditure Rs 15.63 lakh crore, including capital spending of about Rs 3.46–3.47 lakh crore that rose roughly 33% year on year.
  • Non-tax revenue climbed to about Rs 4.03–4.04 lakh crore, boosted by the Reserve Bank of India’s Rs 2.69 lakh crore dividend transfer.
  • Net tax inflows were softer as devolution to states totaled about Rs 4.28 lakh crore, with analysts citing a July contraction in personal income tax collections due to filing deadline extensions and base effects.
  • DEA Secretary Anuradha Thakur said the Centre remains on course to meet the 4.4% of GDP FY26 deficit target, with the CGA and economists cautioning that monthly figures reflect timing mismatches and that proposed GST changes could affect revenues.