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India Proposes Two-Rate GST Overhaul With 5%, 18% Rates and 40% Sin Slab

The Group of Ministers will meet this week to review the proposal ahead of GST Council approval.

Overview

  • The Finance Ministry’s August 17 plan would collapse four existing GST slabs into 5% and 18% rates, introducing a 40% special levy on sin and luxury goods.
  • About 99% of items currently taxed at 12% are earmarked for the 5% slab, while roughly 90% of goods in the 28% bracket would move to 18%.
  • The COVID-era compensation cess is set to lapse in November, ending a key mechanism that protected state revenues.
  • Analysts estimate the annual revenue shortfall at ₹1–1.1 lakh crore (0.3–0.5% of GDP), which the government says will be neutralised by stronger consumption and one-off fiscal buffers.
  • The fitment committee’s draft goes before the GoM on August 20–21, with the GST Council slated to decide in September or October for a Diwali rollout.