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India Posts 6.5% GDP Growth and Record $824.9 Billion Exports, Officials Rebuke ‘Dead Economy’ Claim

Kotak Mahindra Bank forecasts growth could slow to 6.2% in FY26 after this year’s 6.5% expansion alongside a record export haul

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Overview

  • Government data confirm India’s real GDP rose 6.5% in FY24–25, securing its spot as the fastest-growing major economy
  • Nominal GDP reached $4.30 trillion as merchandise exports climbed to an unprecedented $824.9 billion, narrowing the trade gap
  • Consumer inflation cooled to near-target levels while NABARD’s July survey showed rural consumption and incomes on the rise
  • Senior BJP figures and union ministers cited the IMF’s July outlook to counter President Trump’s 25% tariff and “dead economy” jibe
  • Kotak Mahindra Bank’s chairman warned that US tariffs and global headwinds could temper growth to around 6.2% in FY26