Overview

• Government sources say the updated climate pledge will be released during or just ahead of COP30 in Brazil on November 10, though no firm submission date was set at the New York summit.
• The new plan is expected to upgrade targets for 2035 across three areas: lowering emissions intensity of GDP, expanding non‑fossil power capacity, and enhancing the additional carbon sink.
• India reports non‑fossil sources now exceed 50% of installed electricity capacity, and official data show a 36% cut in emissions intensity from 2005 to 2020.
• Officials indicate the scope of new commitments could be limited by weak climate finance outcomes, referencing disappointment with COP29.
• Fewer than 50 countries have submitted third‑round NDCs as UN analyses show current pledges would trim 2030 emissions by about 5.9% versus 2019, far below the ~43% needed for a 1.5°C pathway.