Overview

• India’s Sept. 23 NOTAM blocks Pakistan-registered and Pakistan-operated civilian, cargo and military flights from Indian airspace until 05:30 IST on October 24.
• Pakistan issued a matching NOTAM days earlier that extends its ban on Indian aircraft to the same expiry date and time.
• Reroutes now affect roughly 800 weekly flight legs from Delhi, Amritsar, Jaipur and Lucknow to West Asia, the Caucasus, Europe, the UK and eastern North America.
• The impact is uneven, with Cirium data showing about six weekly PIA flights typically overflying India, while Pakistan cited PKR 4.10 billion in lost overflight revenue in a little over two months.
• India’s civil aviation ministry is evaluating relief for airlines as Air India projects an annualised hit of about $600 million and IndiGo suspends Almaty and Tashkent routes due to range limits.