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India Markets Rally on GST Draft Circulation and S&P Rating Upgrade

Investors seized on the GST draft's circulation to states following the S&P rating upgrade, driving a sharp rally ahead of state reviews before Diwali, with a US tariff deadline looming.

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Overview

  • The Centre circulated the proposed two-slab GST framework to state governments and scheduled a finance ministers’ meeting for August 20–21 to secure cooperation for Diwali implementation.
  • S&P Global raised India’s sovereign credit rating to BBB from BBB-, the first upgrade in 18 years, citing stronger fiscal metrics and stabilizing macro conditions.
  • Domestic equities surged, with the Sensex gaining over 650 points intraday and the Nifty reclaiming the 25,000 mark as auto and consumer durable stocks led sectoral rallies.
  • Analysts caution that the rebound remains fragile until the Nifty decisively breaks above 24,750–24,800 and foreign institutional investors reverse approximately ₹21,000 crore of net selling seen in early August.
  • Market participants are watching the looming August 27 US tariff deadline and outcomes of upcoming global diplomatic talks for further catalysts or headwinds.