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India Manipulates Chenab River Flow, Intensifies Water Dispute with Pakistan

Following the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, India has intermittently closed dam gates, causing severe water shortages in Pakistan and flash-flood warnings downstream.

Overview

  • India has significantly reduced Chenab River flows to Pakistan by closing gates at the Salal and Baglihar dams, causing water levels to drop by up to 90% before releasing surges that triggered flash-flood warnings.
  • The Indus River System Authority in Pakistan has projected a 21% water shortage for the early Kharif crop season due to the reduced water supply, with potential impacts on agriculture and food security.
  • Prime Minister Narendra Modi reaffirmed India's stance to prioritize national water use, asserting that Indian waters will now flow solely in India's interests.
  • India has expedited the construction of four major hydropower projects on the Chenab River in Jammu and Kashmir, capitalizing on the treaty suspension to advance domestic energy goals.
  • Tensions between India and Pakistan remain high, with Pakistan warning that the water disruptions could escalate into a broader conflict as both nations exchange accusations and threats.