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INDEC to Publish October CPI Today as Forecasts Point Back Above 2%

The reading will set December pension adjustments, including the year‑end bonus for retirees, under the IPC‑linked mobility rule.

Overview

  • INDEC releases October inflation at 4 p.m. local time, with private estimates clustered between 2.1% and 2.4% and the Central Bank’s REM at 2.2%.
  • Buenos Aires city inflation was 2.2% in October, with pressures concentrated in food and beverages, transport, and services.
  • Under the two‑month lag set by decree, ANSES will use the October CPI to update December pensions and calculate the Sueldo Anual Complementario.
  • Multiple reports, including from the UBA, indicate real wages remain below November 2023 levels and the minimum wage’s purchasing power sits even under 2001, weighing on consumption.
  • Regional data underscore a gap, with South America’s simple average monthly inflation near 0.11% in October versus projections above 2% for Argentina.