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INAPP Warns of 6.1 Million Worker Exodus in 10 Years Threatening Welfare System

INAPP urges swift reforms to preserve pension sustainability.

Overview

  • The warning, delivered by INAPP president Natale Forlani in a parliamentary hearing, projects roughly 6.1 million exits from the workforce over the next decade.
  • The working‑age population is forecast to shrink by 34% by 2060, with pension spending expected to rise to about 17% of GDP by 2040 from 15.3% today.
  • More than 4 million over‑65s are non‑self‑sufficient, yet only 7.6% receive care in residential facilities and 30.6% access integrated home care.
  • Large labor reserves remain untapped, including 7.8 million inactive women—over 1.2 million say they are available to work, especially in the South—and around 1.4 million NEETs.
  • INAPP proposes limiting early retirement and progressively raising the retirement age, paired with active labor policies, continuous training, technology to lift productivity, and stronger long‑term care services.