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IMF Warns of Rising Risks as U.S. Tariff Actions Shake Global Markets

Trump's tariff policies and attacks on Federal Reserve independence fuel market volatility, while IMF predicts slower growth but not a global recession.

Overview

  • Global equity markets have dropped 6% since April 2 when President Trump announced sweeping tariffs, with the U.S. dollar falling to multi-year lows and gold reaching record highs.
  • IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted unprecedented trade policy uncertainty, warning smaller economies are particularly vulnerable to external shocks.
  • The IMF maintains that while global economic growth will slow, a full-blown recession is not imminent, provided governments act decisively to stabilize markets.
  • Trump’s public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and discussions about firing him have raised concerns about the central bank’s autonomy and further weakened investor confidence in U.S. assets.
  • G7 nations remain divided on how to respond to U.S. trade policies, complicating efforts for coordinated action to mitigate global financial instability.