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IMF Upgrades China's 2024 Growth Forecast to 5%

Stronger-than-expected Q1 data and policy measures prompt revision; long-term challenges remain

  • China's 2024 GDP growth forecast increased from 4.6% to 5% by the IMF.
  • Growth for 2025 is also revised up to 4.5%, reflecting recent economic policies.
  • IMF highlights need for consumer-friendly reforms and stronger social safety nets.
  • Long-term growth projected to slow to 3.3% by 2029 due to aging population and productivity issues.
  • Emphasis on market-oriented reforms and support for the property sector to sustain high-quality growth.
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