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IMF Sets Template for Global Stablecoin Rules as $300 Billion Market Raises Systemic Risks

The fund’s new paper proposes strict reserve rules with cross-border oversight to curb runs or regulatory arbitrage.

Overview

  • The IMF warns dollar‑pegged tokens can drive currency substitution, weakening monetary control in high‑inflation or weak‑institution economies.
  • The stablecoin market now exceeds $300 billion with about 97% of supply tied to the U.S. dollar and dominated by Tether and Circle.
  • Reserves are concentrated in short‑term U.S. Treasuries (USDT about 75%, USDC about 40%), heightening spillover risk if mass redemptions trigger rapid asset sales.
  • Policy recommendations include harmonized legal definitions, the “same activity, same risk, same regulation” principle, strict reserve and par‑on‑demand redemption rules, granular disclosure, and cross‑border supervisory colleges with stronger AML/CFT coordination.
  • The IMF highlights regulatory and technical fragmentation across jurisdictions and blockchains as pathways for arbitrage and cross‑border instability, calling for unified oversight.