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IMF Reserve Data Show Q3 Stabilization as Valuation Effects Explain Q2 Dollar Drop

IMF analysis indicates currency moves, not portfolio shifts, drove the earlier slide.

Overview

  • The dollar accounted for 56.92% of reported global reserves in Q3 2025 as overall currency shares steadied, with the euro and yen edging higher.
  • IMF figures show the Q2 2025 drop in the dollar’s share to 56.32% was mostly a valuation effect tied to FX moves rather than active reallocation by reserve managers.
  • At constant exchange rates, the dollar’s Q2 share was 57.67%, a marginal 0.12 percentage point dip that challenges claims of rapid de‑dollarization.
  • The IMF updated its COFER methodology by imputing previously unallocated reserves, producing small, backdated adjustments to historical series.
  • Goldman Sachs said reserve managers appeared to lean into currency fluctuations, and analysts noted the data offer muted signals for crypto markets that trade on de‑dollarization narratives.