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IMF Deputy Warns of 'New Cold War' Amid Global Economic Fragmentation

Gita Gopinath suggests a potential loss of up to 7% of global GDP if the world splits into US-Europe and China-Russia trading blocs.

  • IMF Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath warns of a potential 'new Cold War' due to increasing economic fragmentation and tensions between the US and China.
  • Gopinath suggests that the global economy could lose between 2.5% and 7% of its GDP if the world splits into two trading blocs, one led by the US and Europe, and the other by China and Russia.
  • The IMF official highlights that direct trade links between the world's biggest economies are already being severed, with Mexico replacing China as America's top trading partner.
  • Gopinath urges countries to protect the basic tenets of free trade, warning that escalating global tensions could threaten net zero or food security.
  • She also suggests that the current system to resolve trade disputes through the World Trade Organisation is no longer fit for purpose.
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