Overview
- The India Meteorological Department said the Bay of Bengal low will likely become a cyclonic storm by October 26 and is forecast to reach the coast on the morning of October 28 between north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha.
- States have moved quickly: Odisha and Andhra Pradesh cancelled staff leave, opened control rooms, readied cyclone shelters and deployed NDRF and ODRAF teams to priority coastal and southern districts.
- The IMD has issued red and orange warnings for very heavy to extremely heavy rainfall on October 27–29 for specified districts, with forecasts of squally winds and rough to very high seas that will endanger coastal communities and marine activity.
- Some regional models and officials warn the system could rapidly intensify to a very severe cyclonic storm with sustained winds near 115–145 km/h, gusts higher, and a possible 1–2 metre storm surge in exposed coastal stretches, though exact landfall point and peak strength remain uncertain.
- Beyond the landfall zone, forecasts show heavy rain, thunderstorms and gusts spreading to South and East India, which could cause evacuations, festival‑structure removals, fishing losses, crop damage and disruption to power and transport in the coming days.