Overview
- The IMD confirms a low‑pressure area formed over the Strait of Malacca and South Andaman Sea on November 22, with west‑northwest movement and likely intensification into a depression around November 24.
- If the system strengthens further later in the week it could become Cyclone Senyar, though formation and track remain uncertain and official probability charts show low near‑term confidence.
- Very heavy rain of 105–204 mm in 24 hours is forecast over the Nicobar Islands on November 24–25, with squally winds of 35–45 km/h gusting to 55 km/h, rising to about 65 km/h by November 25.
- Yellow and heavy‑rain alerts are in place across parts of Tamil Nadu and Kerala, with RMC Chennai warning for 11 TN districts, while Rayalaseema and south coastal Andhra Pradesh are likely to see spells of rain.
- Fishermen are advised to avoid the Andaman Sea and sectors of the Bay of Bengal through next week due to rough seas and hazardous winds, with return to port urged where already at sea.