Overview
- The India Meteorological Department issued red and orange warnings for parts of Delhi-NCR on Friday and set yellow nowcasts for the early hours of August 15, signalling heightened rain risk during the Independence Day period.
- For the Red Fort area the IMD gives about a 70% chance of roughly 5 mm of rain between 4 am and 6 am on August 15 and predicts additional light spells later in the morning and afternoon.
- Forecasters say the wet spell is driven by an active monsoon trough colliding with a western disturbance and a depression over Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal, a setup that also risks isolated very heavy rain in Odisha, Jharkhand, East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.
- Authorities warn of thunder, lightning, gusty winds, waterlogging and localised flooding that could disrupt travel and events, and Delhi Police note umbrellas are banned inside the Red Fort while raincoats are allowed.
- The systems are expected to keep monsoon activity active through mid‑to‑late August and the rains will not erase the season’s wider deficit, leaving a continued risk of flash floods in saturated low‑lying and hilly areas.