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IMD Forecasts Active Monsoon Across Large Parts of India

A tropical system forecast to move into the Bay of Bengal could strengthen monsoon circulation and bring more widespread heavy rain into northern India in early July.

Overview

  • The India Meteorological Department has warned of an intensifying monsoon with widespread rainfall, thunderstorms and gusty winds through at least July 2.
  • District and city alerts were issued for June 27–28, including an orange alert for 20 districts in Jharkhand and yellow warnings for Mumbai and parts of Delhi‑NCR.
  • Weather models show a tropical system developing over the eastern Indian Ocean that is expected to move into the Bay of Bengal and may trigger a low‑pressure area that broadens heavy rains into central and northern states in the first week of July.
  • Reports from this week recorded lightning fatalities in West Bengal and large urban impacts in Mumbai, where the seven supply lakes held just 7.5% of capacity despite a recent 24‑hour deluge.
  • The IMD has urged standard safety steps for thunderstorms and warned fishermen of rough seas, and meteorologists say the current northward monsoon flow needs stronger Bay of Bengal systems to produce sustained rain across much of North India.