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Imamoglu's Detention Deepens Turkey's Political Divide as Protests and Polls Intensify

Jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu now leads Erdogan in hypothetical elections, as opposition support surges and the government faces criticism over judicial independence.

A person holds a placard during a rally to protest against the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu as part of a corruption investigation, in Istanbul, Turkey, March 29, 2025. REUTERS/Umit Bektas/File Photo
Supporters of Ekrem Imamoglu, the mayor of Istanbul and main rival of President Tayyip Erdogan, protest outside his prison during his first hearing over accusations leveled against him, in Istanbul, Turkey, April 11, 2025. REUTERS/Umit Bektas

Overview

  • Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, jailed since March on corruption charges he denies, has seen his popular support rise above President Erdogan in recent polls by Metropoll and Konda.
  • The detention of Imamoglu and over 100 municipal officials has triggered Turkey's largest protests in a decade, with opposition groups denouncing the actions as politically motivated.
  • Economic instability continues, with the lira sliding sharply and the central bank intervening through rate hikes and suspension of repo auctions to calm markets.
  • The government maintains that the judiciary is independent, rejecting accusations of politicized prosecutions despite criticism from European leaders and rights organizations.
  • The opposition CHP has launched a petition for early elections and judicial reform, gathering over 13 million signatures as political polarization intensifies between Erdogan's AKP and Imamoglu's CHP.