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Ifo Study Finds Germany’s Upward Mobility Has Slumped to U.S.-Like Levels

Researchers tie the reversal to a doubling of parental income’s sway since the early 1980s.

Overview

  • The analysis of birth cohorts 1968–1987 reports markedly weaker chances of economic ascent for people born from the 1980s.
  • Ifo co-author Julia Baarck says parents’ income began exerting roughly twice the influence on children’s education and later earnings by the late 1970s and early 1980s.
  • Andreas Peichl of Ifo reports that Germany’s income mobility now resembles that of the United States.
  • The decline in mobility coincided with a sharp rise in income inequality during the 1990s and 2000s, which Peichl calls a “toxic mixture” for equal opportunity.
  • Federal Education Minister Karin Prien calls the findings alarming and backs stronger early childhood support and targeted school funding as responses.