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Ifo Shows Sharp Drop in German Auto Sentiment Before Chancellery Summit

Ifo links the setback to unmet reform hopes rather than trade uncertainty.

Overview

  • Germany’s auto business climate index fell 5.7 points to -21.5 in September, breaking a two‑month upswing.
  • Business expectations dropped 8.3 points to -23.1, while the assessment of current conditions eased 3 points to -19.9.
  • Ifo’s Anita Wölfl said companies show early signs of disappointment with the new federal government over undelivered structural reforms.
  • Export expectations improved to 16.7, the highest since April 2023, reinforcing Ifo’s view that domestic weakness is the main drag.
  • The deterioration lands hours before an Auto‑Gipfel at the Chancellery, where debates over technology openness and Chancellor Merz’s bid to overturn the 2035 combustion‑engine ban face SPD opposition.