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IEA Projects AI Will Double Global Data Center Power Use by 2030

Rapid growth in AI workloads is forcing faster permitting and new power supplies to prevent local grid strain as data center demand soars.

Overview

  • The International Energy Agency estimates global data center electricity use will rise from about 415 TWh in 2024 to roughly 945 TWh by 2030 as AI workloads scale.
  • The IEA says the United States and China will drive nearly 80% of the increase, with the U.S. adding about 240 TWh of load by 2030.
  • Data centers can be built in 18–24 months while new transmission lines and generation often take five to ten years, creating a timing gap that is already stressing hubs such as Northern Virginia and central Texas.
  • The agency expects roughly half of the incremental demand to be met by renewables by 2030 while natural gas and coal will supply much of the near-term growth and nuclear will vary by region.
  • Market responses include some Bitcoin-mining firms repurposing capacity to host AI workloads and utilities facing faster investment needs, which could raise costs or slow new connections for other power users.