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Ibovespa Closes at Record Above 144,000 as Real Rallies Before Fed, Copom Decisions

Dollar weakness and easing yields on expectations of a quarter‑point Fed cut focus attention on Powell’s guidance and Brazil’s policy stance.

Overview

  • Ibovespa finished up 0.36% at 144,061.74 after touching 144,584 intraday, marking a fresh closing high on the eve of policy decisions.
  • The dollar fell for a fifth session and closed at R$5.2981, its lowest since June 6, as the Dollar Index slid about 0.6% and carry trades gained traction.
  • Brazilian interest-rate futures declined across the curve, led by the long end, with traders pricing a wider rate differential if the Fed cuts and the Selic stays at 15%.
  • Wall Street ended slightly lower despite stronger U.S. retail sales and industrial output, while two‑year Treasury yields eased to roughly 3.52%.
  • IBGE reported unemployment at 5.6% for the quarter to July, a series low, and investors also tracked political developments, including reports of Jair Bolsonaro’s hospitalization and tax debates, as potential market drivers.