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IBM Stock Collapses After Surprise Q2 Warning

Investors now await the July 22 earnings call to decide whether late‑quarter rushes into AI hardware and management missteps reflect a timing problem or a deeper business shift.

Overview

  • IBM said in a July 14 preannouncement that preliminary Q2 revenue was about $17.2 billion and adjusted operating EPS was $2.93, which fell short of analyst estimates.
  • CEO Arvind Krishna acknowledged the company "faltered" and said customers shifted late‑quarter budgets into supply‑constrained AI servers, storage and memory, which delayed large software, consulting and mainframe deals.
  • The disclosure triggered a roughly 25% one‑day share drop that erased about $68–69 billion of market value and prompted multiple analyst downgrades and target cuts.
  • Operational detail shows a split picture: distributed infrastructure revenue rose about 37% with a backlog above $500 million while software growth slowed to roughly 5% and consulting was flat, reflecting timing and execution problems.
  • The July 22 full Q2 report and conference call will determine whether deferred deals close and guidance holds, a result that could reshape IBM’s valuation and pressure management to consider strategic options.