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Hurricane Priscilla Shifts West of Baja, Setting Up Days of Heavy Rain and Dangerous Seas Across Mexico

Meteorologists cite interaction with additional low‑pressure systems alongside the monsoon trough as the driver of a far‑reaching threat.

Overview

  • As of Oct. 8, Mexico’s SMN and Conagua maintain multi‑day alerts for very strong to torrential rainfall from the northwest to the Yucatán Peninsula as Priscilla influences national weather.
  • Forecasts call for coastal gusts up to 80–100 km/h and waves near 5–6 meters on Baja California Sur’s west coast, with high surf extending to Nayarit and Jalisco.
  • Torrential totals of roughly 150–250 mm are projected Wednesday and Thursday for parts of Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla and Veracruz, with very strong rains expected in Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Oaxaca, Chiapas and Tabasco.
  • The Valley of Mexico faces strong storms in Mexico City and very strong rainfall in the State of Mexico, with forecasters warning of lightning, possible hail, urban flooding and landslides.
  • Impacts vary by locality, with Baja California seeing lighter rain Tuesday before increases midweek, while Argentina’s weather service issues yellow wind alerts for six provinces with gusts up to 90 km/h.