Overview

• Priscilla remains a high‑end Category 2 hurricane near 110 mph and could briefly reach major intensity before weakening, according to the National Hurricane Center.
• Forecast guidance keeps the core tracking parallel to, but offshore of, west‑central Mexico and Baja California Sur over the next couple of days.
• A tropical storm watch is in effect from Cabo San Lucas to Cabo San Lázaro, with Baja California Sur canceling classes and opening shelters as a precaution.
• Large swells are already producing life‑threatening surf and rip currents along the Mexican coast and the southern Baja peninsula.
• Moisture from Priscilla is expected to bring heavy rain to west‑central Mexico and Baja first, then could trigger flash flooding in the U.S. Desert Southwest later this week into the weekend, with some forecasts noting possible interaction with a Pacific Northwest system and continued uncertainty in timing and totals.