Lorena remains a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds near 130 km/h and gusts up to 160 km/h, moving northwest offshore of southern Baja California Sur. Forecasts from SMN/Conagua indicate possible short‑term strengthening to Category 2 before weakening and making a first landfall Friday on western Baja California Sur, then impacting Sonora on Saturday. Heavy rainfall is expected to be widespread, with torrential totals of 150–250 mm in parts of Baja California Sur, intense 75–150 mm in Sonora and Sinaloa, and very strong 50–75 mm in Baja California, Nayarit and Jalisco, raising risks of floods, landslides and river rises. Coastal hazards include wind gusts up to 100–120 km/h on Baja California Sur’s shores, seas of 4.5–5.5 m along the south coast, and 2–3 m in Sinaloa and Nayarit, with hazardous conditions spreading into the Gulf of California. Prevention and vigilance zones for tropical‑storm effects have been set from Santa Fe to Punta Abreojos and expanded along the peninsula, and officials urge residents to follow Protección Civil and Conagua advisories as the NHC flags potential track changes.