Overview

• As of early Thursday, Lorena was a Category 1 hurricane with 75–80 mph winds located roughly 100–160 miles from Cabo San Lucas and moving northwest.
• Tropical storm alerts are in effect along parts of the west coast of Baja California Sur, including from Santa Fe to Cabo San Lázaro, with advisories extending north toward Punta Abreojos.
• Rainfall of 5–10 inches with isolated totals up to 15 inches could trigger life‑threatening flash floods and mudslides, and dangerous swells and rip currents are expected along exposed coasts.
• Track guidance remains split between a late‑week approach to the peninsula and a weakening offshore scenario, with the National Hurricane Center projecting rapid weakening beginning Thursday into Friday.
• Moisture from Lorena could enhance heavy rain in Arizona and parts of the Southwest, while separate Hurricane Kiko has intensified to Category 4 over open waters with no immediate land threat.