Overview

• Gabrielle is a major hurricane with 120 mph winds about 195 miles southeast of Bermuda and is forecast to pass east of the island tonight over open water.
• No coastal watches or warnings are in effect, though Bermuda could see gusty winds and showers as the center remains well offshore.
• Forecasters note a short window for additional strengthening with Category 4 possible before weakening begins by midweek.
• A central-Atlantic tropical wave carries a high seven-day formation chance (roughly 60–80%) and is favored to become the next named storm, Humberto.
• Another wave east of the Lesser Antilles has lower odds (about 30–50% over seven days), may bring gusty rain to the Leeward Islands, and could slow near the Bahamas later this week with track and impacts still uncertain.