Overview

• NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter data confirm Gabrielle reached 75 mph Sunday about 320 miles southeast of Bermuda, becoming the season’s second Atlantic hurricane.
• The National Hurricane Center projects a northward turn with the center passing east of Bermuda on Monday before recurving into the open North Atlantic, keeping the U.S. coastline out of the direct track.
• Gabrielle is forecast to strengthen to near Category 2 by Monday, with some guidance indicating potential rapid intensification toward major-hurricane strength early this week.
• Swells are already affecting Bermuda and are expected to reach the U.S. East Coast from North Carolina northward and into Atlantic Canada, creating life-threatening surf and rip currents into early week.
• The NHC is monitoring two additional disturbances: a central Atlantic wave with around a 50% seven-day development chance and another east of the Windward Islands with low odds that could bring gusty showers to the Leeward Islands on Tuesday.