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Hurricane Erick Intensifies to Category 4 Ahead of Mexico Landfall

Forecasters predict up to 20 inches of rain with a dangerous storm surge impacting the coast from Oaxaca to Guerrero early Thursday.

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This handout satellite image obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/GOES shows Tropical Storm Erick over southern Mexico on June 17, 2025.
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Overview

  • Erick has rapidly strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 195 kph (121 mph).
  • A hurricane warning is in effect from Acapulco to Puerto Angel and a hurricane watch extends westward to Tecpan de Galeana and eastward to Bahias de Huatulco.
  • Authorities have established over 2,000 temporary shelters in Oaxaca and Guerrero and deployed troops and electricity crews to assist with evacuations and post-storm recovery.
  • The National Hurricane Center forecasts rainfall totals of 8 to 16 inches, with localized amounts up to 20 inches, raising the threat of life-threatening flooding and mudslides in steep terrain.
  • Erick’s early-season formation, more than a month ahead of the climatological average for the basin’s fifth named storm, is attributed to unusually warm ocean temperatures and low wind shear.