Overview

• The National Hurricane Center assigns a 40% probability to the Atlantic low becoming a short-lived tropical depression within 48 hours before conditions turn unfavorable.
• Models track the disturbance moving northeast at 5 to 10 mph over cooler mid-Atlantic waters, ensuring it poses no threat to land.
• In the Eastern Pacific, a low located offshore Central America carries a 70% chance of cyclonic development later this week.
• That Pacific system is expected to unleash heavy rains across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala, raising flood risks.
• Climate Prediction Center forecasts call for a busier-than-normal Atlantic season with more than a dozen named storms and a peak from mid-August through mid-October.