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Humberto and Imelda Draw Close, Raising Risk of Fujiwhara Interaction

The close spacing is driving unusually low confidence in track and intensity guidance for areas from the Bahamas to the U.S. East Coast.

Overview

  • Hurricane Humberto is a major hurricane near 140 mph and Tropical Storm Imelda is near 60 mph, with the storms roughly 650 miles apart.
  • The proximity brings the possibility of a Fujiwhara interaction, in which nearby cyclones can orbit a common center and alter each other’s motion and strength.
  • Forecasters note potential outcomes ranging from subtle timing and track shifts to one storm absorbing the other, with a full merger considered rare.
  • Heavy rain is already showing up from the Carolinas to Florida, and any interaction could further complicate impacts and timing along the Southeast and Eastern Seaboard.
  • Imelda could strengthen to a hurricane, and meteorologists are closely monitoring for signs of interaction, citing a 1995 case when Hurricane Iris absorbed Humberto.