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Human Influence Made Nordic Heatwave 2 °C Hotter and Ten Times More Likely

The analysis shows event frequency has risen sharply at 1.3 °C of warming, leading scientists to urge rapid emissions cuts.

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A beach in Spain, one of the European holiday hotspots that could suffer a drop in visitors as temperatures soar (Photo: Getty Images)
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Overview

  • A mid-August rapid-attribution report by World Weather Attribution found that July’s two-week Nordic heatwave was about 2 °C hotter and at least ten times more likely because of human-caused warming now at roughly 1.3 °C.
  • The study reveals that heatwaves of this duration in Fennoscandia have nearly doubled in probability since a similar 2018 event, underscoring a clear link between small increments in warming and rising extreme heat risk.
  • Observed temperatures peaked at 33–35 °C across parts of Norway and Sweden, with Arctic Circle stations recording over thirteen days above 30 °C and Finland enduring three consecutive weeks of 30 °C heat.
  • The extreme heat strained regional health systems, drove a surge in heat-related hospital admissions, disrupted reindeer herding as animals perished or sought refuge in towns, stoked wildfires and fueled toxic algal blooms along the Baltic coast.
  • Researchers warn that without rapid fossil-fuel emissions cuts and strengthened adaptation—such as early-warning systems and infrastructure upgrades—such heatwaves could become a biennial or triennial occurrence by 2100.