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Human-Driven Warming Tripled June Heatwave Deaths in Europe, Study Finds

By attributing roughly 1,500 of 2,300 fatalities to human-driven warming, the first rapid analysis underscores the need for aggressive emissions cuts to curb future heatwave risks.

Image
A labourer drinks water to cool down as he works on a construction site of tramway lines along the Garonne river during a heatwave in Bordeaux, south-western France on July 1, 2025.
FILE - People walk at Trocadero plaza near the Eiffel Tower during a heat wave July 2, 2025, in Paris. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena, File)

Overview

  • During June 23 to July 2, human-driven climate change boosted peak temperatures in 12 European cities by up to 4 °C.
  • Led by Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, the first near–real-time study quantified heatwave impacts using weather records and mortality models.
  • An estimated 2,300 heat-related deaths occurred across the cities with about 1,500 of those fatalities—around 65 percent—directly linked to human-induced warming.
  • Most excess fatalities fell among older adults or those with underlying health conditions in urban heat islands where built environments trapped additional heat.
  • Researchers caution that only immediate greenhouse gas reductions combined with strengthened public-health adaptations—tree planting, cooled infrastructure, early-warning systems—can prevent far deadlier heatwaves under a 3 °C warming trajectory.