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HSBC, IBM Report Quantum Boost in Bond-Trading Predictions

The trial ran on IBM’s Heron hardware using historical trading data rather than live execution.

Overview

  • HSBC said a hybrid quantum–classical model delivered up to a 34% improvement in estimating whether a quoted bond trade would be filled in Europe’s over-the-counter market.
  • The experiment analyzed more than 1 million quote requests across roughly 5,000 corporate bonds from September 2023 to October 2024.
  • The workflow incorporated IBM’s Heron processors in a quantum-classical pipeline, with most methods kept proprietary and no live trades executed.
  • IBM shares rose about 5% after the announcement as investors weighed a potential near-term use case for quantum computing.
  • Independent experts questioned whether the reported gains reflect true quantum advantage rather than hardware noise or methodology, and HSBC cautioned the results may not generalize to other markets or datasets.