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House GOP Control Slips as Discharge Petitions Multiply and Retirements Loom

Johnson's scramble for votes on the NDAA underscores a caucus drifting from Trump.

Overview

  • A growing stack of live discharge petitions is eroding leadership power, including a bipartisan push led by moderates to force a vote on extending enhanced Affordable Care Act premium subsidies.
  • Speaker Mike Johnson secured the NDAA rule only after outside assurances, including a call to Senator Marco Rubio to review concerns about NGOs tied to the Taliban.
  • President Donald Trump signaled disengagement from health care negotiations by saying Hill Republicans do not need a big 2026 package, complicating efforts to address the subsidy deadline.
  • Reporting points to a potential new wave of GOP retirements, with one estimate suggesting up to 20 additional announcements in the coming weeks as members weigh bleak midterm prospects.
  • The administration’s seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker has intensified bipartisan demands for congressional war-powers votes, with resolutions positioning for possible floor action next week.