Overview
- Hong Kong’s GDP rose 3.1% year on year in the second quarter of 2025, matching the advanced estimate and marking the tenth consecutive quarter of expansion.
- On a seasonally adjusted basis, the economy expanded 0.4% from Q1, up from a revised 1.8% gain in the previous quarter.
- Export strength was driven by rush shipments ahead of U.S. tariff changes, a rebound in inbound tourism and a buoyant local stock market.
- Private consumption returned to growth after four quarters of decline and overall investment increased, led by machinery, equipment and intellectual property spending.
- Officials maintained a 2–3% full-year growth forecast for 2025 but warned that elevated tariffs, interest-rate uncertainty and geopolitical tensions could curb momentum.