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Hong Kong GDP Tops Estimates With 3.1% Q2 Growth on Export Rush

Officials warn that the temporary tariff relief will fade, with upcoming US trade measures and uncertain interest rate cuts threatening growth.

A general view of skyline buildings, in Hong Kong, China July 13, 2021. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/ File Photo
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People pass an electronic sign showing the price of the Hang Seng Index at Exchange Square in Hong Kong on April 10, 2025

Overview

  • The economy expanded 3.1% year-on-year in April-June, beating the 2.7% forecast and marking a tenth straight quarter of growth.
  • On a seasonally adjusted basis, GDP rose 0.4% in the second quarter following a revised 1.8% gain in Q1.
  • Goods exports jumped 11.5% year-on-year as firms front-loaded shipments ahead of the August tariff deadline.
  • Private consumption expenditure rebounded 1.9%, ending four consecutive quarters of decline and reflecting stabilizing domestic demand.
  • The government has rolled out measures to bolster consumption and attract investment, warning that the August expiry of tariff relief and uncertain US monetary policy could curb momentum.