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Honeywell Sees Record Business Jet Deliveries Through 2035 in New Outlook

The forecast points to fractional ownership expansion plus revived U.S. bonus depreciation as the main demand drivers.

Overview

  • Honeywell projects 8,500 new business jets worth $283 billion over the next decade, the highest total in the outlook’s 34-year history.
  • Released October 13 at NBAA-BACE in Las Vegas, the report implies roughly 3% average annual growth in new deliveries.
  • Operator sentiment strengthened: 91% expect to fly the same or more in 2026, global flight hours rose about 3% year over year, and 20% already have aircraft on firm order.
  • Fractional fleets have grown about 65% since 2019 to roughly 1,300 aircraft, with midsize and super-midsize types leading, and North America set to take about 70% of near-term deliveries.
  • Manufacturers are ramping output to keep pace as supply-chain backlogs and costs persist, while buyers increasingly prioritize performance, fuel efficiency, and sustainable aviation fuel adoption.