Overview
- Siena College finds Gov. Kathy Hochul leading Rep. Elise Stefanik 52% to 32% statewide, with Hochul’s favorability at 43–45% and job approval at 52–43%, both slightly lower than in September.
- Stefanik consolidates Republicans 79–11% and narrows the independent gap, with Hochul now ahead among independents 40–36% compared with 43–25% two months ago.
- Regional splits persist as Hochul leads by 42 points in New York City, by 9 points in the downstate suburbs, and by 3 points upstate.
- In a hypothetical Democratic primary, Hochul tops Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado 56–16%, indicating firm intra‑party support.
- The poll shows Sen. Chuck Schumer at a record‑low 32–55% favorability and a stark divide over Mayor‑elect Zohran Mamdani, and it was conducted Nov. 10–12 among 802 voters with a ±4.0 point margin of error as other recent polls have shown tighter head‑to‑head results.