Overview
- An Emerson College Polling survey conducted Nov. 8–10 among 850 active registered voters (credibility interval ±3.3 points) finds a highly competitive general election landscape.
- In hypothetical matchups, Hobbs leads Biggs 44%–43%, Robson 43%–42%, and Schweikert 44%–39%, with 13–16% undecided across pairings.
- Among Republican primary voters, Biggs holds 50% to Robson’s 17% and Schweikert’s 8%, with 25% undecided.
- Biggs shows particular strength with voters over 60 (59%) and with 2024 Trump supporters (51%), according to Emerson’s Spencer Kimball.
- Issue salience now centers on the economy (34%) over immigration (18%), Trump’s endorsements are viewed negatively overall but boost GOP primary support, and Hobbs registers mixed standing at 39% job approval and 44% favorable.