Historian Predicts Biden Holds Slight Lead Over Trump in 2024 Race

Allan Lichtman, known for accurately predicting presidential elections since 1984, has yet to make a final prediction but suggests Biden currently leads based on his 'Keys to the White House' model.

• Historian Allan Lichtman, with a flawless election prediction record since 1984, indicates President Biden has a slight lead over former President Trump in the 2024 presidential race.
• Lichtman's prediction model, 'The Keys to the White House,' shows Biden leading in five keys, while Trump leads in three, with five keys still undecided.
• The 'Keys to the White House' model includes factors like midterm gains, economic performance, social unrest, and incumbent charisma to predict election outcomes.
• Despite Biden's lead, Lichtman cautions that several factors could still shift the race, emphasizing he will not make a final prediction until August.
• Lichtman's method has been accurate in predicting presidential winners, including his solitary prediction of Trump's win in 2016.

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