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Highs Rita and Sieglinde Keep Germany Grey as Sharp Cold Turn Looms Next Week

Ensemble forecasts point to a switch to drier continental air from 13 October, bringing clearer days with subzero nights in parts of the country.

Overview

  • Under a persistent high‑pressure block, fog and low cloud dominate large areas from NRW to Berlin/Brandenburg and Baden‑Württemberg, with mostly dry, light‑wind days and highs around 13 to 19 °C. ECMWF/GFS guidance signals a marked change beginning Monday, with a northerly to continental influx of much colder air that could drop daytime values into the single digits in places.
  • The colder push raises frost risk next week, with forecasts highlighting Bavaria and the east for subzero nights and ground frost, locally down to around −1 to −3 °C near the surface.
  • Drier air with the pattern shift is expected to erode the persistent Hochnebel, offering sunnier spells by day even as nights turn notably colder.
  • Separately, meteorologists warn of a developing ‘Gota Fría’ over Mallorca through 12 October, with locally more than 200 l/m² of rain and a heightened flash‑flood risk.