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Heisman Race Tightens as Fernando Mendoza’s Penn State Finish Vaults Him Beside Julian Sayin

Odds have converged after Week 11, with analysts saying the award remains open heading into the final stretch.

Overview

  • Indiana’s quarterback led a 10-play, 80-yard drive capped by a 7-yard touchdown to Omar Cooper Jr. for a 27-24 win at Penn State, a moment widely labeled Heisman-defining.
  • Sportsbooks show a near dead heat: BetMGM and bet365 list Mendoza and Sayin as co-favorites around +175, while FanDuel and Caesars give Sayin a slight edge near +160 over Mendoza around +170.
  • ESPN’s betting analysis now calls Mendoza the favorite near +160 but stresses he is far from a lock, citing remaining regular-season games, conference titles, and voter timing in early December.
  • Mendoza’s résumé includes roughly 2,342 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, added rushing scores, and an undefeated 10-0 Indiana team, contrasted with Sayin’s record-chasing efficiency and 80%+ completion rate.
  • Ty Simpson and Marcel Reed remain in contention on odds boards (generally +350 to +850), while public debate over narrative moments versus season-long metrics has intensified across polls and commentary.